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says in her report.

“Americans are more likely to get struck

by lightning than to be killed in a pipeline

accident,” she concludes.

As Furchtgott-Roth explains, approximately

70 percent of crude oil and petroleum products

in the United States are shipped by pipeline

on a ton-mile basis, that is, the number of tons

shipped over number of miles. If safety and

environmental damages in energy transportation

were proportionate to the volume of shipment,

she asserts, “one would expect the vast majority

of damages to occur on pipelines.”

However, the data reported in her white

paper found the exact opposite to be true: the

majority of incidents occur on road and rail.

“AN ENDLESS AMOUNT OF VARIABLES”

Numbers aside, Green says that trying to

accurately compare pipeline and rail safety means

looking at, “an endless amount of variables.”

Take, for example, spillage. When researchers

at the International Energy Agency (IEA) looked

at PHMSA data for the years 2004 through

2012, they found that pipelines in the United

States actually spilled three times as much crude

as trains. That period, however, was dominated

by two large spill events, one in and around

the Kalamazoo River and another into the

Yellowstone River. According to IEA, nearly

three-quarters of pipeline occurrences resulted in

spills of less than one cubic meter (264 gallons),

while 16 percent didn’t cause a spill at all. The

numbers illustrate

how difficult it can

be to winnow out the

truth. As Christopher

Ingraham noted in a

Washington Post blog

comparing pipeline

and rail risks, “one big spill can completely

change the face of an industry’s safety record.”

That, of course, goes for rail as well as pipelines.

And what about less easily quantified issues, like

the potential danger to citizens or the environment?

On those concerns, Green remains

philosophical.

“The fact is, energy policy can’t be divorced

from the need to move large quantities of energy

over vast distances,” he says. “You could say

that because high pressure pipelines are located

away from population centers, they’re less likely

to cause injury to people than trains that run

through urban centers are.

“But it’s important to note that the likelihood

of a problem occurring with either rail or

pipeline is low,” Green adds. “No one wants to

harm individuals or the environment, including

railroads and pipeline companies. And they’ve

both done a stupendous job, given the quantity

of product being moved.”

To Green, that means both industries are at

the point where they’re just making incremental

changes that influence safe operation.

“We’re working at the margins now,” he says,

“trying to determine the best way to move that

one barrel of oil safely and with minimal risk to

the environment.”

NOT AN “US-VERSUS-THEM” SCENARIO

There’s no question that railroads are taking

their expanded position in the North American

energy renaissance seriously. They’ve even

borrowed some of the current rhetoric,

suggesting that increased oil volumes indicate

that trains are “helping the U.S. economy

achieve energy independence,” according to Carl

Ice, president and CEO, BNSF Railway.

Regardless of the size of that role, officials

say that safety is top of mind. They also admit

that it’s taken some time to get up to speed. As

“THE LARGE-SCALE SHIPMENTS OF CRUDE

OIL BY RAIL SIMPLY DIDN’T EXIST 10 YEARS

AGO, AND OUR SAFETY REGULATIONS NEED

TO CATCH UP WITH THIS NEW REALITY.”

I N N O V AT I O N S • V O L . V I I I , N O. 1 • 2 0 1 6

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